US midterm elections: US midterm elections: Prediction markets give Democrats a 74% chance of sweeping Congress - The Economic Times
As the November midterm elections approach, Kalshi traders are increasingly confident in a Democratic sweep, estimating a 74% likelihood that they will secure control of both the House and Senate. With Democrats showing strong leads in key battleground states according to recent polls, trading volume has surged past $57 million, capturing the sentiment of traders. However, these markets are merely reflections of opinion and should not be viewed as certainties.