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Israel has voted in its most consequential election since October 7, and Benjamin Netanyahu’s fate may rest with the very citizens his camp refuses to partner with: Israel’s Arabs. Turnout is reportedly the highest since 1981, yet neither Likud’s far-right bloc nor Gadi Eisenkot’s opposition is projected to reach 61 seats. Arab citizens are 21 percent of the population, and their turnout could jump from 53 percent to about 63 percent, lifting their lists from 10 seats to 13. But anger over gang violence, discrimination and Gaza runs deep, and far-right ministers Ben-Gvir and Smotrich have deepened it. Likud is reportedly preparing nearly 2,000 activists for Arab polling stations and discussing a stolen election narrative if Netanyahu loses. These are reported discussions, not evidence of fraud. Will higher turnout deliver real power, or just seats nobody will bring to the table? Watch our full breakdown of Israel’s explosive 61-seat arithmetic.